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Home » Editorials, Featured, g33kBowl

g33kBowl Week 7 Predictions

Submitted by on October 20, 2011 – 8:49 AM12 Comments | 889 views

Are you a superstitious player?  I briefly talked about this last week in my sleep deprived state, but I want to get some serious discussion started about this.

In Fantasy Football there are many things to get superstitious about.  One of the major superstitions going around the league, besides the Joey pick syndrome, is “If I start this guy, he’ll get 2 points.  If I bench him, he’ll score 30″.  I recently found a new term for that thanks to the ESPN Fantasy Podcast, which you should listen to from time to time s it’s a big help, and that term is a Charlie Brown or a Fantasy Whack-a-Mole.  That last term is particularly great because you get the imagery right away.  It’s a player that you know is going to break out, but you have no idea when or where.

With this specific situation in mind, let us go through the different ways you can play Fantasy.  There is a school of thought where you make tons of waiver pickups and trades, and you are constantly changing your team to try and find that perfect matchup / breakout player.  There’s a lot of risk to that style, but when you get a lot of those picks right, you can blow teams out of the water.  The other strategy, and this is especially important with all of the Bye Week Players we have right now, and that is to minimize risk.  Sure that player on the waiver wire had a break out Week 6 scoring 25 points, but look at his other games; 2, 3, 0, -1, 5.  That is a a very inconsistent player and probably a Whack-a-Mole that you don’t want to deal with.  It’s the players that score 6-9 points each week that you want to look at.  Sure they don’t produce gigantic numbers, but they also won’t kill you.  You know what you are going to get from those players, and on the plus side they have the potential to break out big.  This is generally how I like to play.

Do you see what I just did there?  I took a superstitious thing and talked it out in a sensible fashion.  Don’t misunderstand me, superstitions have their place in Fantasy Football.  I’m just of the mind that after a few weeks of play, which we have certainly had, you have to figure out what kind of player you are, and what kind of players the people on your team are.  You should have some studs, some consistent players, ones with potential, and others that are Whack-a-Moles or Zombies.  The advice that I have for you is start figuring out who is who, and use that to fix your teams.  We still have 7 weeks until the playoffs start so anything is possible!

Also happy to announce that I’m over 50% for my weekly predictions.  Though I just jinxed myself and now I’ll get all the games wrong.  Damn superstitions!

Prediction Record: (22-20)

Week 7 Matchups

Tuchanka Thresher Maw’s (5-1)
Team Caporrino (2-4)
Analysis

Impressive win last week for Team Caporrino. She kind of broke out of her shell and lived up to the team’s potential to get a much higher score than in recent weeks. Her reward? A matchup with one of the hottest teams in the league, the 5-1 Thresher Maw’s. Terry has been running a tight ship over on Tuchanka and his diligence is really paying off with victories. That being said though, some of his higher profile players like Reggie Wayne have started to tail off, and other contributors like Bradshaw and Green are on Bye Weeks. This is going to be a really difficult test for the Thresher Maw’s but I think they are up to the challenge. In the end his big play players, are better and more likely to carry the team, than Cappy’s players.

Predicted Winner: Tuchanka Thresher Maw’s

Mars Space Cowboys (3-3)
ARRGAN IISOU (4-2)
Analysis

Last week, I bet against Pedro and the Space Cowboys with little regard to the actual matchup. I chose my wife and it actually worked out. This week though, I’m going to take a good long look at this matchup in my crystal ball and see what the future holds. Jimmy aka Drakmarth has been doing pretty well with ARRGAN IISOU but this week will be a tough one for him. He has McCoy out on a Bye Week, and the Mike Thomas & Mike Williams combo have been bums the last few weeks. Consistent scoring bums, but bums none the less. On the other side though, the Raid Boss and his Space Cowboys are dealing with injuries and Bye Weeks in addition to inconsistent play. I think it will be a close matchup, but I’m going with the Pirates of ARRGAN IISOU.

Predicted Winner: ARRGAN IISOU

Citadel Spectres (5-1)
English Kniggits (0-6)
Analysis

Soah can kick my ass in League of Legends up and down. For now though, Fantasy Football has been kind to myself and to the Spectres. We have bounced back from the injury to Andre Johnson and are staying on that winning track. I’m going to pick myself this week because I finally believe in my team, but here are some things that can easily shift the game over to the Kniggits. Arian Foster is a beast. Darren Sproles is playing against the terrible Colts Defense. Brandon Marshall is starting to show signs of life. Jason Witten is one of the best TE’s in the league. Finally, Roethlisberger is playing against the dreadful Arizona Defense. It is very possible that Soah has a career game and pulls this out. I’m praying that doesn’t happen because I’m biased.

Predicted Winner: Citadel Spectres

Hoboken Dread Pirates (2-4)
Team Malfunct (2-4)
Analysis

I’ve been saying it for weeks, but it’s finally starting to happen. Chris Johnson of the Titans is starting to get in-shape and back on track. This bodes very well for Gunshow and the Dread Pirates. That’s the good news! The bad news is that he has so many Bye Week players that he has to start Roy Williams … yeah Roy Williams. Quite possibly one of the worst players I have ever seen with my own two eyes. Malfunt on the other hand is looking decent this week with Rodgers, Rice, and Boldin ready to pounce. I know he hates for me to do this, but I just can’t choose a team with Roy Williams to win. If the Dread Pirates actually just left that WR slot blank, I would pick them. It’s nothing personal, just standards I have against Roy Williams.

Predicted Winner: Team Malfunct

Zombie Black Bears (4-2)
The Besaid Aurochs (2-4)
Analysis

Battle of the ladies going on here. Katie and the Aurochs got a much needed win last week that is keeping her in contention in this league. Meanwhile, Eco and the Black Bears have quietly gone about their business and are tied for 1st place in the g33k division with a 3 game winning streak. This week though, I see nothing but bad things in store for Eco. She has 6 players on Bye this week, including Tom Brady, Jeremy Maclin, and Green-Ellis. Katie does have Frank Gore out, but I think she can bounce back from that based on the strength of Roddy White and Mike Wallace. It’s just a gut call at this point, but I’m going with my wife.

Predicted Winner: The Besaid Aurochs

Scottish Highlanders (3-3)
Lunaris Robunnys (4-2)
Analysis

I could go into a long winded discussion about the who’s and whys of what is going to happen in this game but I’m going to be brief in my prediction. On the Robunnys side, his team on paper looks like the winner. Yet here’s the truth. Vincent Jackson is going to get covered by Revis so that’s a crappy game for him, which is also a crappy game for Philip Rivers. Green Bay is going to put up tons of points on the Vikings, so that means Adrian Peterson won’t get a chance to get the ball. on the other side, I think the Highlanders will get big games from Mark Ingram going against a terrible Indy team, and the usual brilliance from Stafford and Calvin Johnson aka Megatron!

Predicted Winner: Scottish Highlanders

Week 7 Spotlight Match

NJ Fear Boners (3-3)
Binary Rock-Jocks (3-3)
Analysis

When choosing the spotlight match, it was difficult to determine what game out of all these games should get the honor. When I started looking though, I had found that Binary and the Rock-Jocks had picked up Tim Tebow. Look I don’t know if Tebow is going to be a good “real life” QB. Yet in fantasy, I think he’s going to be awesome. I’m a huge Tebow fan, so I’m excited to see him play and it will be interesting to see how it works out. Add in a strong performance from Ryan Matthews, and Binary’s roster of up and coming WRs and this could be a big week for Binary. MZ and the Fear Boners on the other hand, there isn’t anything particular wrong with the team. Sure, Vick is on Bye Week, but Hasslebeck is a fine replacement. What scares me though is that Tim Hightower may or may not play well, and Jahvid Best is recovering from his second concussion of the season. His other players are great, but I don’t know if it’s enough to push him over the top. Those fears are enough for me to to ride the excitement of Tebow-mania and vote for Binary in this matchup.

Predicted Winner: Binary Rock-Jocks

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